Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-10 16.764540 19.059529 21.656620 24.834286 28.646132 33.108132 38.780359
2025-08-17 13.526882 16.355552 19.831296 24.486997 30.670620 38.765905 50.451511
2025-08-24 11.724689 14.758094 18.694899 24.306889 32.322973 43.729802 61.921337
2025-08-31 10.298500 13.355997 17.490677 23.674570 33.031980 47.289016 72.045236
2025-09-07 9.319555 12.395850 16.704798 23.424845 34.130796 51.498284 84.200427
2025-09-14 8.303514 11.255297 15.500945 22.338281 33.678543 53.022754 91.971925
2025-09-21 7.441717 10.245472 14.367816 21.187984 32.895012 53.757238 98.358753
2025-09-28 6.839998 9.560705 13.647845 20.592574 32.931635 55.925781 108.281549
2025-10-05 7.022467 10.066225 14.806501 23.235658 39.137423 71.232605 153.369855
2025-10-12 6.814338 9.941114 14.935774 24.111048 42.196377 80.960726 189.735493
2025-10-19 6.338963 9.349884 14.236862 23.402262 41.987581 83.436284 207.286750
2025-10-26 6.147910 9.203635 14.271862 24.051030 44.678134 93.344379 252.796904
2025-11-02 5.785097 8.761457 13.782700 23.692252 45.269203 98.592392 287.610116
2025-11-09 5.457551 8.356495 13.326788 23.350396 45.860336 104.104759 327.916498
2025-11-16 5.187507 8.029201 12.979819 23.181843 46.819540 110.950028 379.569698
2025-11-23 4.884616 7.624195 12.456921 22.587143 46.650841 114.498597 420.033442
2025-11-30 4.655369 7.333349 12.122541 22.352212 47.337960 120.933287 481.770569
2025-12-07 4.346670 6.883293 11.455658 21.329475 45.842565 119.946633 502.689430
2025-12-14 4.053831 6.446875 10.787996 20.245775 44.040126 117.526438 514.036600
2025-12-21 3.844349 6.150441 10.371650 19.684431 43.563249 119.624779 557.419908
2025-12-28 3.990414 6.509180 11.256907 22.174201 52.008494 157.733807 929.370952
2026-01-04 3.942526 6.504392 11.417435 22.997659 55.897244 180.616994 1252.348162
2026-01-11 3.750875 6.217551 10.982357 22.330965 55.111674 183.083998 1368.097597